temperature variation
Global Warming In Ghana's Major Cities Based on Statistical Analysis of NASA's POWER Over 3-Decades
Global warming's impact on high temperatures in various parts of the world has raised concerns. This study investigates long-term temperature trends in four major Ghanaian cities representing distinct climatic zones. Using NASA's Prediction of Worldwide Energy Resource (POWER) data, statistical analyses assess local climate warming and its implications. Linear regression trend analysis and eXtreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost) machine learning predict temperature variations. Land Surface Temperature (LST) profile maps generated from the RSLab platform enhance accuracy. Results reveal local warming trends, particularly in industrialized Accra. Demographic factors aren't significant. XGBoost model's low Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) scores demonstrate effectiveness in capturing temperature patterns. Wa unexpectedly has the highest mean temperature. Estimated mean temperatures for mid-2023 are: Accra 27.86{\deg}C, Kumasi 27.15{\deg}C, Kete-Krachi 29.39{\deg}C, and Wa 30.76{\deg}C. These findings improve understanding of local climate warming for policymakers and communities, aiding climate change strategies.
Long-term Effects of Temperature Variations on Economic Growth: A Machine Learning Approach
Kharitonov, Eugene, Zakharchuk, Oksana, Mei, Lin
This study investigates the long-term effects of temperature variations on economic growth using a data-driven approach. Leveraging machine learning techniques, we analyze global land surface temperature data from Berkeley Earth and economic indicators, including GDP and population data, from the World Bank. Our analysis reveals a significant relationship between average temperature and GDP growth, suggesting that climate variations can substantially impact economic performance. This research underscores the importance of incorporating climate factors into economic planning and policymaking, and it demonstrates the utility of machine learning in uncovering complex relationships in climate-economy studies.
Decadal Temperature Prediction via Chaotic Behavior Tracking
Ren, Jinfu, Liu, Yang, Liu, Jiming
Decadal temperature prediction provides crucial information for quantifying the expected effects of future climate changes and thus informs strategic planning and decision-making in various domains. However, such long-term predictions are extremely challenging, due to the chaotic nature of temperature variations. Moreover, the usefulness of existing simulation-based and machine learning-based methods for this task is limited because initial simulation or prediction errors increase exponentially over time. To address this challenging task, we devise a novel prediction method involving an information tracking mechanism that aims to track and adapt to changes in temperature dynamics during the prediction phase by providing probabilistic feedback on the prediction error of the next step based on the current prediction. We integrate this information tracking mechanism, which can be considered as a model calibrator, into the objective function of our method to obtain the corrections needed to avoid error accumulation. Our results show the ability of our method to accurately predict global land-surface temperatures over a decadal range. Furthermore, we demonstrate that our results are meaningful in a real-world context: the temperatures predicted using our method are consistent with and can be used to explain the well-known teleconnections within and between different continents.
Thermal Heating in ReRAM Crossbar Arrays: Challenges and Solutions
Smagulova, Kamilya, Fouda, Mohammed E., Eltawil, Ahmed
The higher speed, scalability and parallelism offered by ReRAM crossbar arrays foster development of ReRAM-based next generation AI accelerators. At the same time, sensitivity of ReRAM to temperature variations decreases R_on/Roff ratio and negatively affects the achieved accuracy and reliability of the hardware. Various works on temperature-aware optimization and remapping in ReRAM crossbar arrays reported up to 58\% improvement in accuracy and 2.39$\times$ ReRAM lifetime enhancement. This paper classifies the challenges caused by thermal heat, starting from constraints in ReRAM cells' dimensions and characteristics to their placement in the architecture. In addition, it reviews available solutions designed to mitigate the impact of these challenges, including emerging temperature-resilient DNN training methods. Our work also provides a summary of the techniques and their advantages and limitations.
Approximating Optimal Estimation of Time Offset Synchronization with Temperature Variations
Mongelli, Maurizio, Scanzio, Stefano
The paper addresses the problem of time offset synchronization in the presence of temperature variations, which lead to a non-Gaussian environment. In this context, regular Kalman filtering reveals to be suboptimal. A functional optimization approach is developed in order to approximate optimal estimation of the clock offset between master and slave. A numerical approximation is provided to this aim, based on regular neural network training. Other heuristics are provided as well, based on spline regression. An extensive performance evaluation highlights the benefits of the proposed techniques, which can be easily generalized to several clock synchronization protocols and operating environments.
A neural approach to synchronization in wireless networks with heterogeneous sources of noise
Mongelli, Maurizio, Scanzio, Stefano
The paper addresses state estimation for clock synchronization in the presence of factors affecting the quality of synchronization. Examples are temperature variations and delay asymmetry. These working conditions make synchronization a challenging problem in many wireless environments, such as Wireless Sensor Networks or WiFi. Dynamic state estimation is investigated as it is essential to overcome non-stationary noises. The two-way timing message exchange synchronization protocol has been taken as a reference. No a-priori assumptions are made on the stochastic environments and no temperature measurement is executed. The algorithms are unequivocally specified offline, without the need of tuning some parameters in dependence of the working conditions. The presented approach reveals to be robust to a large set of temperature variations, different delay distributions and levels of asymmetry in the transmission path.
Alleviation of Temperature Variation Induced Accuracy Degradation in Ferroelectric FinFET Based Neural Network
De, Sourav, Le, Hoang-Hiep, Baig, Md. Aftab, Lee, Yao-Jen, Lu, Darsen D., Kรคmpfe, Thomas
This paper reports the impacts of temperature variation on the inference accuracy of pre-trained all-ferroelectric FinFET deep neural networks, along with plausible design techniques to abate these impacts. We adopted a pre-trained artificial neural network (N.N.) with 96.4% inference accuracy on the MNIST dataset as the baseline. As an aftermath of temperature change, a compact model captured the conductance drift of a programmed cell over a wide range of gate biases. We observed a significant inference accuracy degradation in the analog neural network at 233 K for an N.N. trained at 300 K. Finally, we deployed binary neural networks with "read voltage" optimization to ensure immunity of N.N. to accuracy degradation under temperature variation, maintaining an inference accuracy of 96%. Keywords: Ferroelectric memories
AI can make breast cancer screening more affordable. Here's how
Breast cancer is the second most common cancer globally, and is the most commonly diagnosed cancer in Indian women. Of the 685,000 women who die around the world every year because of breast cancer, over 90,000 are in India, where cancer of the breast is the most common cause of cancer-related deaths in India. One of the major reasons for the high mortality rate in India is that most Indian patients present in the later stages of the disease. Population-scale screening with early detection methods, and efforts to increase awareness of breast cancer, could help tackle the disease, improve survival rates and reduce treatment costs. Screening mammography is a widely used method, but its usage in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs) is limited due to equipment cost and the expert skill required for interpretation of mammograms.
A Framework for Imbalanced Time-series Forecasting
Silvestrin, Luis P., Pantiskas, Leonardos, Hoogendoorn, Mark
Time-series forecasting plays an important role in many domains. Boosted by the advances in Deep Learning algorithms, it has for instance been used to predict wind power for eolic energy production, stock market fluctuations, or motor overheating. In some of these tasks, we are interested in predicting accurately some particular moments which often are underrepresented in the dataset, resulting in a problem known as imbalanced regression. In the literature, while recognized as a challenging problem, limited attention has been devoted on how to handle the problem in a practical setting. In this paper, we put forward a general approach to analyze time-series forecasting problems focusing on those underrepresented moments to reduce imbalances. Our approach has been developed based on a case study in a large industrial company, which we use to exemplify the approach.